Predictions Anyone?

One thing that goes along with struggle, and Ole Miss knows this all too well, is turnover margin.

Auburn is 120th – last in America – in this department at minus-2.20 per game.

You cannot, however, assume turnovers. Turnovers are based on decisions. With Clint Moseley at times it’s been about trying to fit passes into too tight a window.

With Bo Wallace and Randall Mackey in Tuscaloosa it was about trying to force the ball to the Rebels’ best offensive player, Donte Moncrief. Last week for Wallace it was a bad decision that ended up costing the Rebels a chance to tie or win it late.
If Auburn’s trend for giving it away continues, that could make things easier for Ole Miss.

The more likely path to the Rebels’ first SEC win will be running the football. They’ve been one of the better rushing teams in the league all season. They’ve run the ball on some good defenses. Auburn has struggled to stop the run, giving up 192.6 yards a game, last in the SEC and 95th in the nation.

It’s not enough for the Rebels to look back at the end of the game and be pleased with 180 or 200 rushing yards.

They’ve got to finish drives with touchdowns, and that might mean running in from 10-12 yards out or more. Backs have to get to the second level of the Tigers’ defense, then make people miss.

If the Rebels find themselves in a goal-to-go situation from the 2, it won’t be easy. Ole Miss does not have an offensive line that moves defensive fronts off the ball, a fact painfully driven home on fourthand-1 inch last week with the game on the line.

But the Rebels have been successful running off tackle with the zone read and getting to the edge.

Getting the edge Saturday will not be easy against Auburn’s talented defensive ends.

The Rebels will help themselves reach the end zone if they can do it before the field shrinks, and the Auburn defense can naturally crowd the line of scrimmage.

Speaking of those ends, Corey Lemonier is one of the top rushers in the league, and the Rebels are going to have to keep him off of Wallace. Lemonier has five sacks this year, fourth in the league, and he was a big problem for LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger.

Ole Miss has been consistent most of this season in its performance and the fight with which it competes.
Emotions are a real concern for this game. The Rebels have lost a lot of football games the last couple of years, but that Texas A&M loss was unique.

Many of the losses the last two years haven’t even been competitive, and there the Rebels were last week with the Aggies backed up at their 1, down 10 points and the clock running. There was great anticipation for the end of the losing streak.
Ole Miss really needs to start fast in this game, gain some confidence and let the emotions build in their favor.

The Rebels can’t, as Freeze so often says, let one game beat them twice.

I don’t think they will.

Prediction: Ole Miss 25, Auburn 14

Denham Springs, La., native, Mississippian since 1989 with a stop in Meridian before arriving in Tupelo. Daily Journal beat writer since 1996, covering Ole Miss since 2002. Proud Northeast Louisiana alum. Follow me on Twitter @parrishalford and listen to John Davis and myself daily with The Ole Miss Beat on Rebel Sports Radio.

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  • I’ll take a win any way we can get it, but I’m hoping for a comfortable lead in the 4th quarter.

    Ole Miss 38
    Auburn 10

  • Ole Miss – 41

    Auburn – 17

  • Ole Miss 28
    Auburn 21

  • Flashback Thursday: Vaught-Hemmingway Stadium; September 9, 1998; A pitiful Auburn team coached by Terry Bowden and a no-name QB – Ben Leard came into Oxford. They only won 1 SEC game that year- AT OLE MISS, 17-0, and only won 3 games that year. We went to the Independence Bowl and finished 7-5. My point is this…..we have traditionally been beaten by Auburn and Alabama before we even walk out of the locker room. I hope this bunch can overcome that thought. As badly as I felt Sunday morning, I can’t imagine what the guys that actually laid it on the line Saturday night felt. I predict that we have the lingering effect for 2 reasons: 1) 11:21 AM kickoff 2) I saw the look in those guys’ eyes on Saturday night. They appeared broken in my opinion. Unfortunately, I have an alternate obligation on Saturday so I will not witness the streak come to an end if it indeed does. My prediction, in the vein of being true to my Debbie Downer character in which I play on this blog, will make for another unfortunate outcome…
    Tigers 31
    Rebs 27

  • If the things we have seen so far remain constant – and that’s rarely the case in a football game – Ole Miss should win. I think the Texas A&M after effect is a legitimate concern. The Rebels have a great shot to end the streak, but it won’t come easily.

  • RebFan1

    I think the Rebels step up and take out all of their frustrations on Auburn and win this one going away. Like ML stated below, we normally don’t beat the AL teams under any circumstances, but neither does MSU, and they beat the Barn handily.

    I think this Auburn team is lost and likely were hurt more after the AR loss than we were by our loss, and I think our guys are too hungry and likely more PO’d than hurt from last week’s loss. I think the streak comes to an end and we get the monkey off our back once and for all Saturday. Regardless, I will be there rooting for the Rebs in the Vaught!
    Rebels 35Au-barn 10

  • Rebs 28 War Eagles 21

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