TRUDY RUBIN: Tell the truth about Islamic State threat

TRUDY RUBIN

TRUDY RUBIN

President Barack Obama gave vent this week to an uncharacteristic show of emotion over the barbaric beheading of American journalist James Foley by the militant jihadi group the Islamic State. He denounced the group as a “cancer” in the region and accused it of rampaging “across cities and villages, killing unarmed civilians in cowardly acts of violence” as it seized a third of Syria and Iraq.

Yet for months, as this cancer metastasized, the White House refused to recognize the growing Islamic State danger – despite warnings from the State Department and the intelligence community. In January, Obama famously dismissed the group as a local “JV team” trying to imitate al-Qaida, but with no capacity to threaten us.

Only recently, when his hand was forced, did the president act – after the Islamic State had taken Iraq’s largest city, Mosul, marched toward Baghdad, and threatened the Kurdish city of Erbil – and was poised to slaughter 70,000 members of the minority Yazidi sect. U.S. air strikes have helped the Kurds push the group back and retake Iraq’s most important dam, as well as to rescue most of the Yazidis.

But the president still hasn’t laid out a coherent strategy to deal with a group that is now more dangerous than al-Qaida.

When asked on Aug. 9 about the threat, deputy national security adviser Tony Blinken insisted in a TV interview that the group presented no immediate threat to the United States.

“Unlike core al-Qaida,” Blinken said, “right now, their focus is not on attacking the U.S. homeland or attacking our interests here in the United States or abroad. It’s focused intently on trying to create a caliphate now in Iraq and a base from which over time to operate.”

Yet that assessment has been repeatedly contradicted by the administration’s own experts. The Islamic State “is al-Qaida in its doctrine, ambition, and, increasingly, in its threat to U.S. interests,” said Brett McGurk, the deputy assistant secretary of state for Iraq, at a recent House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing. “In fact, it is worse than al-Qaida.”

McGurk said the group had become so strong – after seizing enormous quantities of U.S.-made heavy weapons when it took Mosul – that it was “no longer a terrorist organization. It is a full-blown army.”

McGurk added that the Islamic State leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, “seeks to follow in the footsteps of Osama bin Laden as the leader of a global jihad, but with further reach – from his own terrorist state in the heart of the Middle East.”

After bin Laden was killed in May 2011, Baghdadi eulogized him and promised “violent retaliation.”

Islamic State suicide bombers in Iraq, says McGurk, who average 30 to 50 bombs per month, are increasingly Western passport holders.

Indeed, FBI Director James Comey, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson, and Attorney General Eric Holder have all expressed concerns about the threat posed by thousands of European jihadis and dozens of Americans, trained by the Islamic State, who could return home undetected.

In other words, the threat is far bigger than the possibility that some U.S. embassy employees would get their feet wet.

We all understand that Obama doesn’t want to get sucked back into a counterterrorism war in the country from which he withdrew the last American troops. (Never mind that no one, repeat, no one – not even Sen. John McCain – wants U.S. ground troops to return to battle in Baghdad or Mosul or Anbar.)

We know that Obama hopes Iraq’s Shiite leaders will somehow rise to the challenge and woo back alienated Sunnis, thus undercutting the Islamic State. Whether or not that happens, denying the threat the group presents to the United States only delays the development of an adequate U.S. strategy.

At a minimum, that strategy would involve U.S. arming and continuing air support of the reliable Iraqi Kurds; giving better intelligence and possible air support to Baghdad; figuring out how to degrade Islamic State training camps in Syria; and organizing Iraq’s Sunni allies into a coherent anti-Islamic State stand.

None of that can happen so long as the White House insists on downplaying the nature of the group. It’s time for Obama to tell the U.S. public the truth about the Islamic State threat.

Trudy Rubin is a columnist and editorial-board member for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Readers may write to her at: Philadelphia Inquirer, P.O. Box 8263, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101, or by email at trubinphillynews.com.

  • FrereJocques

    HEAR! HEAR! At last SOMEONE is recognizing the truth about ISIL, and exposing them for what they are. President Obama is screwing up bigtime by not listening to his advisors on this. This group needs to be hit hard and wiped out before they can do further atrocities.

  • charlie

    We could bomb, invade, keep a few thousand troops in country for 10 or 12 years, train the locals to defend themselves, rearm them with US made arms, tanks, etc., give Halliburton a contract to rebuild the country, wait! I seem to recall that we have already done that.

    • FrereJocques

      Yes, we have. Basically, we threw a bunch of money at them. A BIG bunch. Where we failed was installing a Government that the citizens could trust and believe in. Middle Eastern nations are not receptive to the same form of Government that Western nations have. We made a gallant effort to install a workable Government, but we erred in who we supported to run said Government.

      To put it another way, we built them a nice house, and allowed the Hatfields and McCoys to move into it, then neglected to hire a good Landlord and Sheriff to keep a lid on things.

      All of that aside, ISIL is a whole different breed of Islamic fundamentalists. They have plans for world domination that they will act on if given the opportunity. This isn’t just the Kurds, Shi’ites and Sunnis fighting amongst themselves. If you have followed the news at all, you know what I am talking about. These people are ruthless and they are brutal. They have no place in the modern world. The only way to stop them is to wipe them out.

      • charlie

        Unfortunately, it doesn’t matter if we “wipe them out”, stay 10 years or a hundred years, (as the English did in the Crusades), when we leave, some other group will form and create havoc. ISIS didn’t exist a couple of years ago. It’s like having a tiger by the tail. They are very hard to turn loose.