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Inside Ole Miss Sports



Predictions Anyone?
by parrishalford
 Inside Ole Miss Sports
Sep 01, 2011 | 1514 views | 23 23 comments | 13 13 recommendations | email to a friend | print | permalink

August tends to bring a lot of excitement to college football teams. At Ole Miss, there's a new group and a new attitude, as Houston Nutt says.

There are new question marks too.

In August of 2009 there was more excitement for the launch of Ole Miss football than I'd ever seen. Last year, with a new quarterback starter and the absence of playmakers like Dexter McCluster and Shay Hodge, there was a belief that while the Rebels would likely experience a drop-off after consecutive 9-4 seasons, dropping to 4-8, 1-7 in the SEC was unseen. That came from everyone's left field.

Because 2010 is the most recent body of work, it's hard to approach 2011 with great confidence. There's excitement for the potential of the recruiting class, but a reluctance in August to cut loose and believe.

Ole Miss walks onto the field Saturday afternoon with more speed and talent than it had in 2010, and that's the basis for the great sociology experiment that will follow, one that will answer this question: Which is more important, speed and talent or experience?

BYU will send an experienced offense against an Ole Miss defense with question marks at every position, freshmen, redshirt freshmen and first-year junior college transfers sprinkled liberally throughout the two-deep depth chart.

That being said, what I saw when practices and scrimmages were open was a defense that was more energetic, a secondary that appeared faster and improved.

BYU will counter with a sophomore quarterback who, because he started and played significant snaps as a true freshman, has the experience level of a junior.

In fact, the talk about Jake Heaps in these parts has overshadowed a run game led J.J. Di Liugi (5-9, 185) who compares favorably to Ole Miss' Brandon Bolden in terms of production (917 rushing yards, 8 TD, 42 catches last year) if not style.

Receivers have ample size and speed.

Offensively, the Rebels have an athletic quarterback making his first start. Barry Brunetti didn't draw a lot of praise from coaches for his practice until this week. The West Virginia transfer was rated among the top dual threat quarterbacks in the nation coming out of high school in Memphis two years ago.

So it's an unknown under center.

Beyond third-year sophomore Ja-Mes Logan, freshmen will dominate the landscape for Ole Miss at receiver, but really, that's a position where you can pull it off with new people, so much about instinct, route-running and personal discipline.

From the BYU perspective there's a lot of excitement based on how the Cougars finished 2010, winning five of their last six and crushing UTEP in a bowl game. That run included wins against Wyoming, UNLV, Colorado State and New Mexico, against which the Cougars scored a total of 169 points in four weeks.

Defensively, BYU was good, not outstanding. The Cougars return five starters, proven playmakers. They're also pinning a lot of hope on inside linebacker Uona Kaveinga, a high school All-American who is clearly physically gifted and eager to play but didn't get much done in two seasons at USC before transferring.

BYU racked up points at the end of last season but against the teams most likely to resemble SEC defenses – TCU and Utah – BYU scored three and 16 points respectively and lost both games.

Remember, many times last year Ole Miss did not resemble an SEC defense. I think that's changed, but the inexperience brings on the question marks.

If there's a feeling in the BYU fan base that this game will be a cake walk as they begin life without a conference, a new chapter in their storied history, that feeling is misguided.

Ole Miss will compete and have a chance to win as it tries to distance itself from 2010 and begin a rebuilding project.

I just don't think the Rebels will get it done this week.

BYU 25, Ole Miss 17

Comments
(23)
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JJReb
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September 02, 2011
I'm excited about some of the young guys but we don't have a Cam Newton so let's compare this year's team to Auburn. That said, a lot of winning football games is about momentum and having a winning attitude. I think this team does have a chip on its shoulder and has something to prove. The offense, especially the running game, will shine. The defense will be improved but give up some points. 34-31 Rebs with the Mormons making a late charge that comes up short.
bornarebel
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September 01, 2011
Ole Miss could have won 5 of their last 6 if we would have played the teams that BYU played. BYU is not going to be as good as people think. Ole Miss will come out strong and should get a good lead in the first half. The question is can they hold a lead? They sure couldn't last year. Everyone knows that the defense will be better. Nix had 2 good defenses out of 3. He will have them ready to play. The game will be won in the trenches.

Ole Miss - 34

BYU - 27
bbrown85
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September 01, 2011
When it comes to preferences/picks about this blog, I prefer someone who reports the truth and honesty about the program rather than what someone else "wants" to hear. Yes, the Rebels have young talent but until that young talent is put to the test in a game situation, it will be hard to know how certain individuals will react. I hope I'm wrong but I see the Rebels losing this week...but not by much. I do think this game will be more competitive than what people think, 24-20 BYU over Ole Miss.
bleedredandblue
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September 01, 2011
No what i haven't been drinking is the BYU kool-aid. I do however believe that they will be a decent team but to think they are going to come into Vaught-Hemmingway Stadium and get a win this saturday is ridiculous. We as a team do have a lot of question marks coming into this year. Did Auburn have the same question marks last year with a solid o line? I'd say so. We have just as much talent together as they did, some maybe unproven but so was Micheal Dyer and Cam at this level. Our defense will be very much improved this year. Our offense will score. The big plays against us won't happen as often this year. The speed is there to stop it. Brandon Bolden , Jeff Scott, Enrique Davis, Moncrief, and JaM-es Logan will do good things behind this line. I think we will have the same amount of picks we had last year by the end of the Georgia game. I'm excited about this season. I've been let down by this team so many times but this season we've got more talent to work with and some of the best position coaches in their spots that we've ever had at OLE MISS. Here's to all NAY SAYERS. 4-1 After the Fresno game. Not so sure about the rest of the season but we will beat STATE badly this year in Starkville. HOTTY TODDY.
Firefighter20
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September 01, 2011
Ole Miss 24

BYU 21
DosChiChis
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September 01, 2011
Good Morning All,

Beautiful day here in California, weather has been just right, but expecting a warm-up today as NCAA football kicks off, heating things up a bit.

As I've said before, I'm thoroughly pleased with the talent we recruited since the end of last season. I think the guys in here and coming in will take OM to an SEC Champ game. Patience will be key in building that team, and I don't mean 10 years, just maybe 2-3, maybe not. Ole Miss has the talent on the field allbeit inexperienced. Could this be last years Auburn? I don't think so, but I'd be willing to be it is one of Nutts best comebacks, ever. There is nothing more motivating than being kicked real hard when you are down, no better lesson than a bought lesson. I think Coach Nutt bought a good lesson last year and will learn from it. I also think he has always cheerished being the underdog. Nothing is more exciting than seeing a team that flew under the radar come out and compete at a high level. I think we will see that from OM this year. These guys have had a year of bitter taste in their mouths, they are ready and eager to taste the sweetness of victory again. As the Notorious B.I.G. says in a rap song, "Things done changed."

Having said that, this is a very difficult schedule for OM. I think Nutt knows he must take the home games and pull all cards when playing on the road. I think we will see several games go down to the last 5 minutes of the 4th before being decided. BYU may well be one of those games. However, I don't think the Rebs or Coach Nutt can afford to lose this one at home. So, I'll say OM will win the game. (38-35).

I think the non-conference game that Ole Miss will have the most trouble is Freson State. The Bulldogs are very proud of their home field traditions. They bost over 80% in home win average, having beaten many titans of the west coast and mid west. The stadium seats little more than 41,000 people, but they sell out every home game. They have done so every year since 1999. This will be OM's toughest non-conference opponent, no doubt.

Hope everyone has a safe and pleasant holiday weekend.

Dos Chi Chis
parrishalford
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September 01, 2011
Mantachie, the game is on ESPN and will also be available at ESPN3.com.

MSUTUpelofan, looks like it will be a hot one if the temps fall right. Projected high of 95 for SAturday but then a cool front and 89 on Sunday.

BYU linebacker Uona Kaveinga told me it was hot in Utah too. I didn't have a enough time to explain the difference.
parrishalford
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September 01, 2011
Eli10Fan, that's a realist prediction. A pessimist would have had them getting blown out. Maybe all this new talent jumps in and plays at a high level right away. Right now I think experience is a big factor.
msu-tupelofan
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September 01, 2011
while I'm sure BYU is the better team, I will pick UM due to the MS heat/humidity!!!

UM 28 BYU 24
JACREBEL
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September 01, 2011
bleedredandblue is already hittin the kool aid. There is no way to build this team up to think that they will be any better than last year's team. The only true statement in that post is that there are eager freshmen on the team, but eagerness doesn't equal wins, it just fuels the fire. BYU didn't do good against good teams last year, but there's no reason to think that we are even remotely close to a competitive team. The only real thing we know is that we have more negatives (inexperienced QB, young and unproven secondary, youth at WR) than positives (strong O-line supposedly, experience at RB).

Expecting a good game and hoping this team actually lives up to the optimistic hype.

BYU-33

UM-20
mantachie
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September 01, 2011
ole miss 24 byu 21

is game on tv?
eli10fan
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September 01, 2011
wow PA...if you're trying to win over OM fans to read your articles then you're stinking it up pretty bad. Everyone loves a pessimist.
bleedredandblue
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September 01, 2011
Anyone that thinks that BYU is going to come into oxford and walk away with a win saturday has lost the friggin minds. This is not the team that lost to Jacksonville ST. This team will be twice as good as the team that went all the way and just come up short against a good LSU team in Baton Rouge last year. This team is hungry and determined to prove ppl wrong. The youth on this team are eager to shine in the spotlight and the leaders are eager to prove to all the nay sayers that they are for real and will be a force this year. OLE MISS WILL NOT BE A STEPPING STONE AGAIN THIS YEAR. BYU is not that great of a team, they're not. What happened when they matched up to real competition last year? They couldn't put up points, they couldn't stop anyone. OLE MISS wins this one going away. 42-27
levelhead
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September 01, 2011
I seriously have doubts about our linebackers and the speed of our secondary. I hope this doesn't turn into a season where we need to score 40 points a game to stay in it, because with the inexperience on offense, I don't think we could do that. But hey, I predicted we'd beat Jacksonville State, so what do I know?

Mormons 35, Bears 24
Churn
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September 01, 2011
A Sad prediction that I make:

BYU 28 OM 24.

This based on OM goin with an inexperienced QB and a Defense untested in real game.

JB

Raleighrebel
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September 01, 2011
I have no idea how we'll get it done, but I think this coaching staff and team will make it happen against a good BYU team.

Ole Miss 27

BYU 21
VAReb
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September 01, 2011
Rebels win it in the 4th behind Bolden's running and the O'line. Rebs 24 BYU 17
rebelchris
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September 01, 2011
my hope is that catching byu early in the year, before they start clicking, will play into ole miss favor. also, i think i would rather have this years defense vs last years, even without seeing them play. last year was really bad. i think it will be a close game, and being that i cant predict against ole miss, i just wont make a prediction.
rcpylon
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September 01, 2011
If they play as a team, and I hope they do, 34-27 OM

If they play as individuals again, 48-13 BYU

They never seemed to play as a team last year, I truly hope they do this year.
gotohell-lsu
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September 01, 2011
No reason to doubt all the changes from last year.

Ole Miss 30 BYU 24