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Inside Ole Miss Sports



Predictions Anyone?
by parrishalford
 Inside Ole Miss Sports
Sep 15, 2011 | 1109 views | 13 13 comments | 9 9 recommendations | email to a friend | print | permalink

SEC play is here, an opportunity for the Rebels to show a positive direction for the program.

They did that, to some degree, in the 14-13 loss to BYU, but how they lost overshadowed the growth exhibited by the defense.

Defense was not dominant against BYU but was very good.

It was impressive that a defense frequently victimized in 2010 didn't give up the really big plays against BYU.

Offense was a struggle, but quality of opponent had to be factored in.

Then came the Southern Illinois game, a chance to really shine against an FCS foe, but questions remain.

The defense picked off four passes, but the big plays allowed were back, and the offense couldn't run consistently.

Ole Miss goes to Vanderbilt healthier in the run game than it was against SIU. The offensive line has come into focus in the first two games, but the Rebels were able to run with Jeff Scott last week, and this week it appears they'll return Brandon Bolden and Enrique Davis. It may be that both senior backs are in limited roles, but both have been at practice the entire week. Ole Miss coach Houston Nutt calls Bolden and Davis “day to day.”

Then add Randall Mackey into the equation. It's likely the Rebels' backup quarterback will have an expanded role this week with a chance to give Vanderbilt some looks it hasn't seen.

There are reasons to expect the Rebels to run the ball better.

How much better will depend on the line's ability to pick up stunts and shifts within Vandy's front seven. Right tackle Bobby Massie says to expect improvement.

Zack Stoudt, having now taken over as the starting quarterback, has been consistent in the passing game for two weeks. He's also had a fumble that led to a touchdown each week.

Personally, I think it's easier to correct the fumble than interceptions. He hasn't thrown one of those yet, but he's facing a Vanderbilt defense that has been opportunistic with five pick-offs in the first two weeks.

Vanderbilt is playing with the confidence and enthusiasm that comes from a 2-0 start after a coaching change.

They've beaten Elon, an FCS team not as highly regarded at the moment as Southern Illinois, and a UConn team that trended about sixth place in most Big East projections.

Vanderbilt managed just 259 yards of offense and had three turnovers against the Huskies.

Like Ole Miss, Vandy expects to be better in the backfield with the return of running back Warren Norman.

The attitude may be changing in Nashville, but it's not clear yet that the quality of play is.

That being said, there's something to say for confidence and playing at home, and Vanderbilt has both of those elements in its favor.

Ole Miss players say Vanderbilt always plays them hard, but Vandy has done more than that lately, winning four of the last six in the series.

With two teams trying to prove they can win, confidence and momentum will be huge in the game.

I like the Rebels' chances to run the ball better and to cut down on the big plays allowed in the SIU game.

The secondary that has improved against the pass will need to be strong against the run this week. There hasn't been great passing from Vandy in two games.

This will be a test for the Ole Miss defense against the run. The Rebels couldn't stop Vandy last year. The Commodores rushed for 227 yards in a 28-14 win in Oxford, and their key players are back.

Prediction: Ole Miss 23, Vanderbilt 20

Comments
(13)
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bigreb
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September 15, 2011
Its all about now these days i agree. I got a guy three rows in front of me that stood last year and screamed to Nutt to get him an OC to call the plays that all you heard. Now this year he is standing yelling for Nutt to take over the play calling. We just look at him and laugh thats all you can do. I think we match up with Vandy`s style of play better that we have the last two games. I think you will see the oline take this one over.

UM--28

Vandy--13
rebelchris
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September 15, 2011
there will be a large drop in fan support/excitement if vandy wins. yes, ole miss is young and their may be a more promising future, but today's game is about producing now, not tomorrow. i agree with PA that this game will not be the determining factor, but i beleive it could lead to a split in the fan base that wants to keep nutt and those that say fire him. this will in turn be reflected on the adminstration for being out of touch with the fans. this could be similar to nutt's experience at arkansas if ole miss does not make a bowl this year.
colonelreb4ever
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September 15, 2011
Rebels o line gonna have to step up starting this week. Need to have more of a running game and passing game. Front seven on defense better be ready! If all this can happen I like the rebels in a win 21-17 if they play like they have the first two games vandy will win 24-17. David Lee better have been holding back the offense or if he calls the same vanilla stuff from first two games its gonna be another long season!
Reb84
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September 15, 2011
The Vandy game always scares me; whether they always find a way to win or we find a way to lose, the record speaks for itself. Having said that, I am still a true Ole Miss homer and feel that we are still a better program and "should" win. Going back to my first statement, I feel the Rebels will be successful ONLY if we minimize turnovers and disallow the 1 game changing play (40-60 yard runs) that was so popular last year.

Rebels 27

Vandy 24
Churn
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September 15, 2011
m4rebs, my young Alabama friend whats' happening? - you got me TO AIM HIGH - Now where HAS your AIM HIGH gone????

JB Crestview
VAReb
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September 15, 2011
I think Mackey will play a big role in a change of pace situation this week. Am predicting

Ole Miss 28

Vandy 21
parrishalford
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September 15, 2011
Blue, Marve is a player. He was a relative unknown when he got the strip when Dexter McCluster was going into the end zone for the likely winning touchdown in 2008.

AKRebel, I think this game is huge relative to bowl chances for this year, but I don't think it's a must-win for Nutt's future if he can show the program is making progress and headed in the right direction. This team could look very different in November than it looks now. At some points economics factors into those decisions too. People talk about Ed's fourth-and-1 at MSU, but nothing hurt him more than the fact that they opened the gates for a football game at VHS a few weeks earlier and only about 27,000 showed up.

Ackbar, Johnson has moved to DE, and he's expected to play more this week. We'll see what happens. Wayne Dorsey played well last week, but none of the other ends have produced much in the way of big plays. Johnson could stand up and play a little linebacker too. I like the move.
m4rebs
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September 15, 2011
I'm afraid we are going to be disappointed in the outcome.

Vandy 17

Rebs 13
rebelrt
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September 15, 2011
Ole Miss is going to look good this weekend.

UM 27 Vandy 13
bleedredandblue
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September 15, 2011
Vandy's defense will be close to what we've faced this year. BYU had and awesome front 7. Vandy will have some play makers as well. Chris Marve in the middle and a big guy up front that likes to get after the qb, to go along with a speedy secondary. There offense though without warren norman doesn't really exsist. I'm going to say 24-17 final score.
AKrebel
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September 15, 2011
PA...For a team such as ours, it feels like this is a really big game for Nutt and staff. If we lose this game it seems to be nearly impossible to make it to a bowl game again this year. Along with that I would imagine fan support would probably drop, like last year. My question is, do you think for this staff's job security and future with the program, this game is a 'must win'? I would do a prediction but when I start thinking about both of their running backs being back, it brings back the nightmares I had last year after the game. Thanks PA...keep up the great work!

AckbarFan
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September 15, 2011
I heard that CJ Johnson has moved to DE for the time being. Is that true? And if so will he get more playing time at that position? The Rebel equation for success is simple. Run the ball, chew the clock, and dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides. Lockett breaks loose and has a big game with 2 sacks and a few tackles for loss. Rebels win a close one 20-17
Churn
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September 15, 2011
I consider OM and Vandy evenly matched with two exceptions. (1) Jeff Scott a big plus for the Rebs and (2) Bryson Rose. So in this, I give Ole Miss a three (3) point win.

In my opinion, at present, they are leading the SEC being undefeaeted, so Rebs pleasea keep his in order.

JB