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Inside Ole Miss Sports



End of regular season
by parrishalford
 Inside Ole Miss Sports
May 20, 2012 | 1170 views | 6 6 comments | 27 27 recommendations | email to a friend | print | permalink

So, here's where we are.

The SEC regular season is complete. Has there been improvement from 2011?

The answer is yes but to what degree remains to be seen. The Rebels are one game better in league play (14-16) than they were a year ago (13-17) when they missed out on the SEC and NCAA tournaments.

The goal from the beginning had to be to get back to postseason, to begin a new streak after an eight-year run in both tournaments ended last season. Getting into postseason is the first step of reaching the real goal, Omaha.

While Omaha is always a stated goal of the program, this isn't the team to get there regardless of what happens this week in Hoover and next Monday when NCAA bids are announced. But getting into postseason has to be the first goal, getting the opportunity to play as long as you can and one day make the CWS field.

There's a general belief that Ole Miss, with 14 regular season wins in the No. 2 rated RPI conference and an RPI currently of 23 as its own, has done enough to get into the NCAA tournament.

But rarely have I seen an emotional turnaround such as the Rebels have achieved in seven days, going from a sweep of an SEC opponent, albeit a bad one, to a loss at Arkansas State and scoring just five runs in three games at Vanderbilt. I understand that Tim Corbin has recruited good pitching and that Vanderbilt is peaking. That's fine. You're still, if you're going to be a team can realistically pursue the goals Ole Miss pursues, going to have to compete against quality pitching.

The hitting is much improved from last season, the scoring is not. So many times - including yesterday in a 6-3 loss - the Rebels put up enough hits to win the game but not enough runs, not enough pressure on the opposing defense in which this offense was described at the beginning of the season. This Ole Miss team was noticeably better in laying down a bunt and advancing a runner with a sacrifice, and finished second against SEC foes in batting average at .285. But a team that struck out less than any other SEC team, and one with more speed to work with than last year, finished sixth in on-base percentage, 10th in runs, 11th in stolen bases and last in stolen base attempts.

The hitting is better, but something is missing. Something else has to happen to get the Rebels around the bases and to home plate. Thursday and Friday it was like they sent recon agents out to second base only to go back to the dugout and file a report. Rarely did those runners get around to third base and home. Ole Miss left 34 runners on base for three games, almost 12 a game.

Trends that go on for a season are rarely dramatically different in postseason, so if the Rebels are going to have any more success in Hoover, they're going to have to pitch it better. They're going to have to have outstanding starting pitching and relief pitching in the same game, and they're going to have to score enough for it to matter.

At this point in assessing postseason goals, Ole Miss is back in the SEC tournament but barely. Had the field not expanded to 10 teams, the No. 9-seeded Rebels would not be there.

The RPI is strong, but an RPI in the 20s wasn't enough to get LSU in the field last year when the Tigers had 13 regular season wins and did not make the SEC tournament.

It will be interesting to see if making it to Hoover works for or against Ole Miss. LSU did not have the chance to improve its resume beyond the regular seaosn last year. Ole Miss does.

While certain components remain significant to earn an NCAA at-large bid, there's still a human element to every selection committee. If the Rebels, who open with Kentucky Tuesday morning at 9:30, go 0-2 in Hoover it will be interesting to see if 14 regular season wins really are enough to keep playing.

Comments
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rebelchris
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May 20, 2012
good article PA. there is something wrong when you sweep an SEC weekend and then lose to asu and get swept by vandy. way too inconsistent. that is a coaching thing. i think bianco is a good coach overall, but my frustrations with his teams have always been runners stranded on base. i of course havnt looked at stats re: stranded batters of his teams vs other teams, but i would bet it is much higher.
Churn
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May 20, 2012
For some reason or another I cannot pull up that Site. But I take your word that Ole Miss recruiting is improving. What I cannot understand is why did Coach Vaught field such outstanding football teams all winners, and after his departure the Rebels went into being losers. Something is not right up there at Ole Miss for them to have non competitive football teams thru that span of years. Tuberville did improve the system, but it short lived, Dave Cutcliff did OK but he got himself fired. ELI's are a rare breed and don't come often to the rescue
gotohell-lsu
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May 20, 2012
Here's some hope for you Churn. 4 of top 100 for next year, other than that the sky is falling.

http://rivals.yahoo.com/olemiss/baseball/recruiting/rankings/rank-3057;_ylt=AqRKEKrjlqdb5BjVvuwjwuHMtJB4
turfguy
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May 20, 2012
The old hidden ball trick? Geeze Louise that bout sums up the last half of the Reblebear's baseball season. Let's see..oh so you open up in Hoover against some Kentucky Wildcats that have a sore bum, from Bulldogs kicking it three in a row! Okay so, Turfguy predicts that Old Meth will be done in two games. A total failure of promise. Turfguy is now 96% correct on all his predictions. I know you Rebelbears can't bear to admitt it, but Turfguy knows Old Meth better than Old Meth fans do. Turfguy has also predicted that the football squad will win only 2 games at the most. It's a tough time to be a Rebelbear.
gatorchop
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May 20, 2012
When do you know your team is in total collapse?

When Vandy sweeps you?....no, it was when your team falls for the old hidden ball trick against Vandy. Good grief coaches.....coaching staff falling asleep = team falling asleep...no focus

Good job Bianco & Co.
Churn
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May 20, 2012
My apology to Rebel fans but I don't see this rebel team making it above or over the SEC play offs. Maybe 2 wins there at most. I believe they have improved over last season, but so have everyone else in the SEC. In my opinion Ole Miss has a very serious recruiting problem, they just don't seem to land the best in the field of recruitment and have to take what's left over in the bottom of the basket. I agree Tim Corbin is one of the best college baseball coaches, I always had respect for Ron Polk at Miss State. The State bunch will strongly disagree with me on this.And Texas coach Auggie, The SC coach are very good. These Coaches seem to get the best out of their player and pull the right string at the right time to win. I have followed baseball most of my life, and oft times wonder why teams squandered chances to win early in the season and just wait until nearing playoff time to start their juggling and panic attack for wins.

In my view this SEC tournament is going to be won by a team with the strongest of pitching. LSU or SC could probably be the one since they don't have to run as far to the finish line as the others do. My choice for a long shot would be the Florida Gators, that is should LSU and SC get upset along the way. The Gators are very strong and deep in pitching and their bats are starting to sound off once again. my fourth choice would be Vandy, fifth Miss State.

A good day to all.

JB