Georgia-MSU Prediction: Who’s the Underdog Here?

Next game: vs. Georgia (1-2, 0-2 SEC), Saturday, 6 p.m., FSN (Bob Rathbun and Tim Couch)

I admit, when I saw the opening line on this game was “Mississippi State –2,” I was like, whaa? Really? No disrespect, but it’s not like the Bulldogs have been anywhere near the Top 25 lately. Georgia, on the other hand, began the season ranked No. 23 by the AP and No. 21 by the coaches.

Then the Athens Bulldogs played, and lost to, South Carolina (currently No. 12/15) and Arkansas (No. 10/11). And it’s not like they got blown out in either one; in fact, Georgia had a chance to drive for the winning score late against Arkansas.

Anyway, the degenerate gamblers among you will be interested to know that the line has shrunk, anywhere from MSU –1 to even, depending on where you look.

I think UGA will get back into the rankings before the season is over, and even with an 0-2 SEC mark, winning the Eastern Division isn’t entirely out of the question with Florida having issues and South Carolina, while appearing to be for real, being South Carolina.

It’ll be a critical game for both teams, no doubt. Georgia needs to get back on track, and MSU needs something to build on for the rest of the season. Win this one, then beat Alcorn State and Houston the next two weeks, and you’re looking at 4-2 heading into Florida.

This is a sellout for MSU, its sixth straight dating to last season. In the previous five, those capacity crowds have witnessed three losses – to then-No. 2 Florida and then-No. 3 Alabama last year, then-No. 21 Auburn (now No. 17) this season. The two wins came against then-No. 25 Ole Miss last year and unranked Memphis this year.

So, that trend would point to an MSU win this weekend. But because I like Georgia’s quarterback and defense better than I like MSU’s, I’m going to point in another direction.

Prediction: Georgia 19, MSU 14.

Click video to hear audio